Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.482746 16.885981 19.503595 22.558596 26.017932 29.805158 34.256464
2025-06-01 10.054479 13.232358 17.054788 21.952660 28.019368 35.241858 44.440859
2025-06-08 7.268452 10.572724 14.881011 20.824987 28.714752 38.719052 52.237178
2025-06-15 6.104151 9.631258 14.537085 21.709560 31.749850 45.101395 63.951656
2025-06-22 5.117570 8.694939 13.968429 22.083808 33.981190 50.459993 74.604321
2025-06-29 4.172947 7.617504 12.986109 21.656922 34.926073 54.004084 82.912091
2025-07-06 3.344548 6.554244 11.836769 20.774759 35.021342 56.234133 89.394509
2025-07-13 3.077634 6.382705 12.061369 22.024389 38.410693 63.468688 103.572907
2025-07-20 2.820582 6.177639 12.187447 23.098355 41.576851 70.540058 117.907627
2025-07-27 2.533344 5.861322 12.067861 23.722058 44.031066 76.632053 131.067806
2025-08-03 2.223650 5.442372 11.699884 23.854295 45.645216 81.458206 142.486700
2025-08-10 1.892147 4.914136 11.049986 23.392244 46.172320 84.515864 151.210679
2025-08-17 1.571138 4.369159 10.338589 22.828234 46.638550 87.787011 160.988351
2025-08-24 1.294453 3.868459 9.650266 22.246357 47.061594 91.099318 171.219248
2025-08-31 1.024992 3.313932 8.749218 21.110667 46.319438 92.308311 177.942305
2025-09-07 0.937849 3.211254 8.830217 22.006578 49.539004 100.745626 197.643731
2025-09-14 0.829912 3.023243 8.681240 22.385394 51.760069 107.501123 214.752905
2025-09-21 0.694876 2.717796 8.195635 21.953504 52.290165 111.145066 226.476309
2025-09-28 0.561477 2.374507 7.549300 21.060901 51.762300 112.727503 234.497286
2025-10-05 0.535550 2.377542 7.807796 22.325309 55.914643 123.550874 260.191089
2025-10-12 0.503926 2.352417 7.985595 23.411883 59.762626 133.992815 285.673832
2025-10-19 0.459199 2.266809 7.980370 24.042870 62.651244 142.693736 308.268526
2025-10-26 0.404367 2.125092 7.788781 24.176648 64.428250 149.257550 327.071149